Population projections provide estimates of the future size, gender and age composition of the population. It is important to stress that population projections are not accurate predictions about the future, but are the result of calculations determined by assumptions about births, deaths and migration. If our assumptions are not met, the actual developments will deviate from the projection.
Our assumption on fertility and mortality are based on experiences from the period 2009 – 2013, while assumptions on migration are based on the latest 10-year period.
Summary table 9.1. Population 2015-2023
|
|
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
|
Total |
56.231 |
56.172 |
56.126 |
56.065 |
55.992 |
55.908 |
55.828 |
55.745 |
55.647 |
|
Persons born in Greenland |
50.100 |
50.034 |
49.965 |
49.906 |
49.834 |
49.760 |
49.684 |
49.592 |
49.493 |
|
Persons born outside Greenland |
6.131 |
6.138 |
6.161 |
6.159 |
6.158 |
6.148 |
6.144 |
6.153 |
6.154 |
Source: Statistics Greenland, http://bank.stat.gl/BEEPROG
I summary table 9.1 and table 5 results from the projections can be seen. For more details – visit http://bank.stat.gl/BEEPROG . The forecast is calculated on both ‘persons born in Greenland’ and those ‘born outside Greenland’. The two subpopulations evolve in different directions. The persons born in Greenland, are expected to decrease steadily from 50,157 persons in 2014 to 49,493 persons in 2023. The ‘persons born outside Greenland’ are expected to increase from 6,125 persons in 2014 to 6,154 in 2023. The total population will keep status quo over the next decade